SDA Market: Victoria

Victoria is the largest SDA market in Australia by enrolled dwellings and by annualised funding committed, anchored by Melbourne’s deep, multi-participant High Physical Support and Robust stock.

Key figures

Enrolled dwellings4,013
Participants in SDA5,489
SDA funding committed$185.3M
Active providers187

Enrolled dwellings by SA4 region

RegionEnrolled dwellings
Melbourne – West750
Melbourne – South East534
Melbourne – North East402
Melbourne – Inner302
Geelong286

Design category breakdown

Design categoryDwellingsShare
High Physical Support1,82946%
Robust81420%
Improved Liveability64416%
Fully Accessible43011%
Basic2857%

Victoria’s combined HPS (46%) and Robust (20%) share of 66% is the highest complexity profile of any state. This reflects institutional SDA development in Melbourne’s inner and middle rings, where participant density and SIL depth made complex-need accommodation commercially viable at scale. Basic (7%) and IL (16%) together represent only 23%, reducing Victoria’s exposure to VFM-driven downgrades relative to NSW and SA. The same HPS concentration carries VFM policy risk if the NDIA tightens HPS eligibility.

Supply and pipeline

Victoria leads nationally on enrolled dwellings (4,013) and annualised SDA funding ($185.3M). With 5,489 active participants, the participant-to-dwelling ratio confirms high effective utilisation. Melbourne’s urban density supports a multi-participant model, particularly for HPS and Robust stock. The Victorian market is not over-supplied; it is efficiently utilised.

SIL depth and asset-level performance

187 active SDA providers make Victoria the second-deepest provider market nationally. Melbourne’s ecosystem is strongest in the inner north, west and south-east corridors, where competing SIL providers compress matching timelines and vacancy periods for established assets. SIL provider quality varies; assets aligned with mid-tier or smaller providers carry meaningful counterparty risk.

Market view

Victoria is the most active state for institutional SDA transactions. Institutional platforms, superannuation-aligned vehicles and specialist disability funds have all completed acquisitions in Victoria. In SDAHC Research’s market observation, cap rates for stabilised HPS portfolios in Melbourne are in the 7.5–8.5% equivalent yield range — competitive with other infrastructure-adjacent asset classes. New enrolments continue and institutional capital appetite remains strong. The primary forward risk is that any VFM methodology change affecting HPS eligibility would disproportionately affect Victoria.

Source: SDAHC Research, SDA Market Report 2026. Figures reflect the most recent available NDIS data as at Q3 2025-26.

SDA market in other states

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